Marília vs Guaçuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
FRA
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
MAR
28%
23%
49%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAT
57%
22%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 0
MAR
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
RIO
20%
21%
60%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
3 - 0
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
OSV
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |