Marília vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
COM
3 - 0
MAR
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PAU
0 - 2
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
OLI
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 0
RIO
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 1
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 3
BER
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAU
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +3 |