Marília vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
RIO
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
CAP
3 - 2
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
ATI
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
TAB
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 0
BER
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ATI
1 - 1
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
RIO
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |