Marília vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
15%
19%
66%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
4 - 1
CAT
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 4
MAR
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 2
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
NOR
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 0
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 3
RIO
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
OSV
3 - 2
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAO
29%
25%
47%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |