Marília vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
PAU
40%
26%
33%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
ATI
32%
26%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLA
63%
23%
14%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
IND
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 2
CAT
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |