Marília vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 3
MAR
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DES
1 - 0
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
MAR
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAT
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BER
5 - 0
CAP
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BER
1 - 3
MAT
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
BER
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
BER
1 - 2
BAR
65%
20%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RBB
2 - 3
BER
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |