Marília vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
VOT
1 - 1
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
BAR
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAP
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RBB
4 - 3
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
AUD
63%
21%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
AUD
57%
22%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BER
1 - 0
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
BER
33%
26%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
DES
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
BER
1 - 0
VOT
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |