Marília vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAT
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 3
MAR
58%
25%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 1
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 3
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
DES
2 - 0
TAB
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
CAP
2 - 3
DES
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BER
0 - 0
DES
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
DES
0 - 0
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
0 - 1
DES
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |