Marília vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
31%
23%
45%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
5 - 2
SER
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
MAR
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
28%
23%
49%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
CAT
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 0
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SER
1 - 1
CAT
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 0
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |