Marília vs Olímpia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ATI
1 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
IND
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olímpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 1
SJS
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
INT
1 - 1
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
ATI
2 - 0
OLI
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAB
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |