Marília vs Olímpia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
MIR
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRA
16%
20%
64%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Olímpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 2
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 2
OLI
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLI
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
ITA
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |