Marília vs Batatais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 3
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
GRE
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
GRÊ
59%
22%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 0
BAT
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
BAT
42%
25%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAT
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BAT
0 - 1
CAP
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |