Marília vs Barretos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 1
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
IND
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAT
3 - 1
MAR
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
FLA
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | +2 |
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
SVA
64%
21%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 2
IND
39%
26%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FRA
4 - 0
BAR
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOV
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |