Marilia U20 vs Corinthians U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.2%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.8%
83%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
17.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
14.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marilia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
PAR
36%
22%
42%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 3
BAN
41%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Corinthians U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 1
COR
10%
14%
76%
|
48 | 8 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
COR
6 - 0
PAR
76%
15%
10%
|
48 | 7 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
COR
0 - 1
PAL
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
5 - 1
COR
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
COR
2 - 1
GRE
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |