Marignane vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BEZ
0 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
CON
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
HYE
37%
28%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
ROD
28%
26%
45%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ROD
2 - 1
VAL
50%
26%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
FCM
37%
27%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 2
VAL
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
LEP
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |