Marignane vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAY
2 - 4
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
LAS
46%
27%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SÈT
3 - 0
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 2
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
FCM
2 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 1
LEP
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 1
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAY
3 - 1
TAR
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 2
LAS
48%
25%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SÈT
1 - 1
TAR
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |