Marignane vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.4%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.9%
76.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
19.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
27%
0-2
19.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2000 |
STR
2 - 0
TRO
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
STR
1 - 1
MET
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
REN
2 - 1
STR
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
STR
0 - 0
MET
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
MPL
1 - 1
STR
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |