Marignane vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
LEP
1 - 2
MAR
51%
26%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
COL
31%
29%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BEZ
2 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
UZE
36%
29%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
PAU
3 - 1
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
SAE
4 - 2
HYE
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 2
SAE
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAE
3 - 0
OLY
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FCM
2 - 2
SAE
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SAE
0 - 1
ALB
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |