Marignane vs Rodez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
FCM
1 - 2
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAN
21%
26%
53%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LEP
2 - 0
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
TAR
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MON
4 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Rodez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ROD
0 - 2
MPL
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ROD
1 - 1
NIC
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ROD
1 - 2
PAU
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
FCM
1 - 0
ROD
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ROD
2 - 1
CAN
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |