Marignane vs Rodez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
53.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PAU
5 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
HYE
28%
28%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BEZ
0 - 2
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rodez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ROD
0 - 0
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CON
0 - 4
ROD
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ROD
2 - 0
BEZ
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HYE
2 - 0
ROD
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ROD
1 - 3
SAE
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |