Marignane vs US Le Pontet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 0
MAR
39%
27%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAY
62%
24%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LAS
1 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
SÈT
39%
28%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
US Le Pontet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
LEP
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LEP
0 - 2
TAR
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BAY
3 - 2
LEP
24%
25%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LEP
3 - 0
LAS
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SÈT
1 - 1
LEP
49%
25%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |