Marignane vs US Le Pontet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
OLY
3 - 3
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAN
21%
27%
53%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
HYE
34%
29%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TAR
3 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
US Le Pontet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
SAE
1 - 3
LEP
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LEP
2 - 0
FCM
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 0
LEP
45%
24%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LEP
2 - 1
BEZ
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
LEP
56%
22%
23%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |