Marignane vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
MON
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
BEZ
32%
28%
40%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HYE
1 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
SAE
28%
28%
44%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
PAU
4 - 0
GAP
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
PAU
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PAU
0 - 0
GDB
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
PAU
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PAU
0 - 2
LEP
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |