Marignane vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
45.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LES
0 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
HYE
1 - 1
MAR
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
AUR
39%
29%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
FCM
20%
26%
54%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ALB
0 - 0
MAR
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PAU
1 - 2
HYE
45%
28%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 2
PAU
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
PAU
1 - 1
OLY
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FCM
3 - 2
PAU
51%
27%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
PAU
4 - 0
ALB
37%
28%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |