Marignane vs Monaco II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
BEZ
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HYE
1 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
SAE
28%
28%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ALB
3 - 3
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
PAU
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MON
5 - 0
CON
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BEZ
0 - 4
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MON
4 - 1
HYE
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAE
4 - 0
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |