Marignane vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 3
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
MAR
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEP
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SÈT
1 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEZ
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FCM
0 - 0
LYO
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LYO
0 - 1
BEZ
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
LYO
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LYO
2 - 3
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LYO
0 - 0
MOA
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |