Marignane vs Grenoble analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
45.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HYE
2 - 0
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
PAU
45%
28%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 1
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
FCM
31%
30%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
BAY
0 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grenoble
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
NIC
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ROD
1 - 1
GRE
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 0
FCM
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CAN
2 - 1
GRE
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
GRE
4 - 3
FCM
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |