Marignane vs Gap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GDB
2 - 0
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAN
16%
26%
58%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
LEP
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
TAR
3 - 3
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
ROD
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GAP
1 - 4
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SAE
6 - 0
GAP
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
GAP
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GAP
1 - 1
ALB
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MON
3 - 2
GAP
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |