Marignane vs Colomiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
MAR
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAR
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
MAR
60%
24%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
PAU
32%
29%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
MON
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
Matches
Colomiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
COL
2 - 3
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CON
0 - 2
COL
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
BEZ
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
HYE
1 - 1
COL
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
SAE
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |