Marignane vs Béziers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
ROD
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
LEP
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
OLY
3 - 3
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Béziers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
BEZ
2 - 0
FCM
32%
28%
40%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAY
0 - 1
BEZ
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAE
1 - 1
BEZ
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
CAN
2 - 0
BEZ
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BEZ
0 - 0
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |