Marignane vs Cannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
HYE
34%
29%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TAR
3 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
ALB
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 0
PAU
35%
29%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Cannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 0
FCM
53%
25%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 0
CAN
26%
26%
47%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
CAN
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
COL
0 - 2
CAN
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAN
2 - 2
LEP
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |