Marignane Gignac vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
HYE
0 - 1
MGG
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MGG
3 - 1
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
BER
2 - 0
MGG
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
MGG
0 - 0
COL
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MGG
1 - 3
FRE
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SÈT
2 - 2
TAR
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 0
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 0
TAR
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
TAR
4 - 2
STA
36%
28%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
GRE
3 - 0
TAR
76%
17%
8%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | -1 |