Marignane Gignac vs Paulhan/Pézenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
LEP
2 - 4
MGG
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MGG
2 - 2
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ROD
1 - 0
MGG
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MGG
4 - 3
PAU
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
HYE
2 - 0
MGG
47%
26%
28%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paulhan/Pézenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
PAU
2 - 2
TAR
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
COL
3 - 1
PAU
51%
25%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PAU
3 - 2
SPO
38%
27%
36%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MGG
4 - 3
PAU
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
PAU
2 - 0
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |