Marignane Gignac vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 0
MGG
15%
23%
62%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MGG
2 - 0
BER
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
COL
0 - 2
MGG
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 0
MGG
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MGG
2 - 0
MON
50%
23%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
PAU
1 - 1
AJA
24%
24%
53%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
PAU
1 - 1
RED
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 4
PAU
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 0
DUN
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
USB
1 - 1
PAU
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |