Marignane Gignac vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
MGG
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MGG
5 - 2
LEP
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 1
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
FRE
22%
27%
51%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 1
FRE
68%
21%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 4
USB
33%
26%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 2
FRE
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |