Marignane Gignac vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
13º
7º
9
2º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
8 | 53 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 50 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 49 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 49 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 48 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 48 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 46 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 43 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 39 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 39 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 39 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 37 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 30 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 29 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5.5% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IST
2 - 1
MGG
16%
24%
60%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MGG
3 - 0
MOA
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 0
MGG
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LMU
2 - 1
MGG
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
MGG
2 - 0
FCR
23%
29%
49%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
JUR
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LPV
4 - 0
BER
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
STA
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
COL
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BLO
0 - 2
BER
32%
26%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |