Marignane Gignac II vs Olympique Marseille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
72.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
14º
14º
31
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SCR
3 - 2
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 3
LUC
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 0
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 1
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
NIC
21%
20%
60%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
CAS
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
SCR
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
EUA
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GAZ
0 - 3
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |