Marignane Gignac II vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
59.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
14º
14º
17
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 0
MAR
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
RSV
21%
20%
60%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
MAR
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
14%
17%
69%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
3 - 0
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NIC
4 - 5
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SCR
3 - 1
NIC
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 2
LUC
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
EUA
3 - 2
NIC
17%
19%
63%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NIC
0 - 1
GAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |