Marignane Gignac II vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
14º
14º
30
2º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 71% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
NIC
2 - 3
MAR
69%
16%
15%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
CAN
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
RSV
3 - 2
MAR
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
AJA
27%
22%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
4 - 3
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
IST
4 - 3
MAR
27%
23%
51%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SCR
3 - 2
IST
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IST
1 - 1
LUC
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 1
IST
41%
23%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
IST
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |