Marienlyst vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
51.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2014 |
HOB
3 - 0
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
ACH
10%
19%
71%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
AKA
3 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
HBK
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
VEN
3 - 1
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 0
LYN
34%
25%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
VEJ
0 - 1
FRE
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
SIF
4 - 0
FRE
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
FRE
0 - 3
HOB
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 1
FRE
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |