Marienlyst vs Avarta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
VAN
1 - 0
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
MID
35%
25%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
B93
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SBO
0 - 1
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
OKS
2 - 4
MAR
12%
16%
72%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Avarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 1
B93
31%
25%
43%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
SBO
2 - 0
AVA
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 1
MID
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
FCN
1 - 3
AVA
5%
9%
87%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BRØ
4 - 3
AVA
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |