Marienlyst vs Avarta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
DAL
1 - 1
MAR
22%
22%
55%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
5 - 0
HEL
59%
22%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MID
2 - 3
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAS
76%
15%
10%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 2
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Avarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MID
2 - 0
AVA
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AVA
3 - 0
NAS
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
DAL
1 - 2
AVA
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 2
HEL
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 2
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |