St. Marienkirchen vs Hogo Wels II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
55.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
GMU
2 - 0
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BAD
4 - 1
MAR
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
UNP
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
4 - 1
MAR
45%
21%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 2
DON
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
WEL
2 - 1
BAD
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
UNP
0 - 0
WEL
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
WEL
1 - 1
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
DON
0 - 3
WEL
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
WEL
6 - 2
NEU
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |