St. Marienkirchen vs Hogo Wels II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SSM
2 - 3
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 3
GMU
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
WEL
4 - 1
MAR
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MAR
5 - 1
GRU
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
DON
0 - 0
MAR
51%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 0
NEU
52%
21%
26%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 2
RIE
5%
12%
83%
|
16 | 73 | 57 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
SSM
2 - 1
WEL
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
WEL
4 - 1
MAR
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 4
WEL
72%
17%
11%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |