St. Marienkirchen vs Hogo Wels II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
53.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
3 - 2
MAR
78%
14%
9%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
DON
21%
20%
59%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 3
MAR
84%
11%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
GRI
9%
15%
77%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 0
MAR
78%
14%
9%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 5
UNI
33%
25%
42%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
UNP
2 - 2
WEL
56%
22%
23%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 2
VOC
17%
23%
61%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SIE
0 - 0
WEL
40%
25%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
WEL
3 - 1
GMU
39%
25%
36%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |