Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 6-2
Maribor vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
GOR
1 - 3
MAR
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
OLI
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
CEL
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 2
MAR
32%
23%
44%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCK
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 1
ZEL
21%
27%
53%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ZEL
2 - 1
KOZ
84%
13%
4%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
SIR
0 - 0
ZEL
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 2
ZEL
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
ZEL
3 - 1
SLA
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |