Maribor vs Zagorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
NKD
2 - 0
MAR
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2005 |
FCK
1 - 3
MAR
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
NKP
53%
26%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
DOM
2 - 1
MAR
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 2
LJU
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zagorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
FCK
3 - 0
ZAG
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2005 |
ZAG
2 - 2
OLI
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
ZAG
1 - 1
CEL
19%
25%
57%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
GOR
6 - 0
ZAG
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ZAG
0 - 1
NKD
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |