Qualif. Champions Play Offs Final
Global 1-4
Maribor vs Viktoria Plzeň analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 1
MAR
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
VKP
3 - 1
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 1
CEL
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
KRK
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
APO
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SLO
1 - 3
VKP
18%
25%
57%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
VKP
3 - 1
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
VKP
0 - 0
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ZNO
0 - 1
VKP
15%
24%
61%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
VKP
6 - 2
KAL
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |