UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 8-0
Maribor vs Sant Julià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
SJU
0 - 3
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
DOM
2 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 1
NKD
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
GOR
2 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
RUD
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
SJU
0 - 3
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
FCR
2 - 1
SJU
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
SJU
5 - 1
LUS
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SJU
1 - 0
SCO
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SJU
1 - 1
FCR
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |