Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
5º
2º
18
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 67 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 59 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 58 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 55 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 52 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 37 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
10º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
32% | 38.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
28% | 22% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
24.5% | 30.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
DJU
1 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
VOJ
1 - 0
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
NSM
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
VOJ
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
OLI
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
CEL
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SHF
0 - 1
OLI
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 0
OLI
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
SHF
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |